Before Jan 3, 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 86%
Yes 86%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$131.2
Open interest
$763
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
Nov 8, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the new Senate first confirm a federal judge?
KalshiWill the House impeach a federal judge this year?
KalshiWill any US federal judge be impeached in 2026?
PredictItWill a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026?
FutuurFederal judge charged with treason/sedition before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill both the house and Senate successfully vote to impeach a federal judge by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:U.S. Senate
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. The position refers to the judgeship on the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Texas to which James Sullivan is nominated. The confirmation of another nominee to a different judgeship on that court does not count as another person being confirmed to the position.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
