KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 71.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 71.5%Market quality
25 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$405
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Nov 7, 26, 5:00 AM UTCMar 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Rules
If the Senate's confirmation of a federal judge in the 120th Congress is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:SemaforABCBloombergNBCThe Washington PostAssociated PressThe Wall Street JournalFox NewsReutersThe InformationPoliticoAxiosMSNBCCNNthe New York TimesCBS
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states <event claim> occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A federal judge counts only if the Senate confirms them to one of the following courts: Supreme Court of the United States U.S. Court of Federal Claims U.S. Courts of Appeals U.S. District Courts (including territorial courts) The following do NOT count: A confirmation made before Jan 3, 2027, including in the 2026 lame-duck session A confirmation to the U.S. Court of International Trade, U.S. Tax Court, U.S. Court of Appeals for Veterans Claims, U.S. Court of Appeals for the Armed Forces, U.S. Court of Military Commission Review, or a District of Columbia local court (D.C. Court of Appeals and Superior Court of the District of Columbia)
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the Senate's confirmation of a federal judge in the 120th Congress is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the Senate's confirmation of a federal judge in the 120th Congress is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If the Senate's confirmation of a federal judge in the 120th Congress is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If the Senate's confirmation of a federal judge in the 120th Congress is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
