KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (95%)
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, 7:02 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
No
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
—
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 21, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 95%
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$1.5K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
2.0% / 13.0%
Spread
11.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 26, 6:07 PMAug 24, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes5%
No95%
95%
5%
Rules
If Al Qadsiah and Al-Ittihad both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only goals scored during the 1st Half count for the purposes of this market.
- Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal.
Open markets
Middle East
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt67%
- October 31-3.0pt43%
- September 30+1.5pt27%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $414.6K
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt47%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt42%
- Before Jan 1, 2027-3.0pt25%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22+1.1pt98%
- August 25+1.9pt96%
- August 31+2.0pt88%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by which date?
- August 31-0.1pt0%
- August 150%
- Total Vol
- $22.8M
- 24h Vol
- $255.9K
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt34.5%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+7.0pt26.6%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt12.4%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027-4.0pt62%
- December46%
- September 30,-3.5pt19%
+8 more outcomes
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by which date?
- Will Iran target a Arab country on?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad: First Half BTTS?
- Kalshi prices No at 95% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad: First Half BTTS resolve?
- Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad: First Half BTTS is scheduled to resolve on August 24, 2026.
- How is Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad: First Half BTTS settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Al Qadsiah and Al-Ittihad both score a goal in the 1st Half of the Al Qadsiah vs Al-Ittihad Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.