Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection11mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Ed Markey, ≥5% 99%Leader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$38.5K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 31, 26, 5:03 PM UTCSep 1, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic primary election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketWill Ed Markey win the Massachusetts general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Ed Markey minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Ed Markey if Ed Markey wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Ed Markey loses.
- If Ed Markey wins, the margin will be positive; if Ed Markey loses, the margin will be negative; if Ed Markey ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Ed Markey runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey)?
- Kalshi prices Ed Markey, ≥5% at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) resolve?
- Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2027.
- How is Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Ed Markey) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.