KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maura Sullivan, ≥6% 53.5%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 5:53 PM UTCSep 8, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary margin of victory? (Chris Pappas)
KalshiNH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stefany Shaheen)
KalshiMA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)
KalshiWill Maura Sullivan win the New Hampshire 1st District Democratic primary election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExNH-02 Democratic Primary Winner
PolymarketNew Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory
PolymarketRules
If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Maura Sullivan minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Maura Sullivan if Maura Sullivan wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Maura Sullivan loses.
- If Maura Sullivan wins, the margin will be positive; if Maura Sullivan loses, the margin will be negative; if Maura Sullivan ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Maura Sullivan runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan)?
- Kalshi prices Maura Sullivan, ≥6% at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) resolve?
- NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) is scheduled to resolve on September 8, 2027.
- How is NH-01 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Maura Sullivan) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for Maura Sullivan in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.