KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Stephen Lynch, ≥2% 99%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$14.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 7:24 PM UTCSep 1, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Stephen Lynch minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Stephen Lynch if Stephen Lynch wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Stephen Lynch loses.
- If Stephen Lynch wins, the margin will be positive; if Stephen Lynch loses, the margin will be negative; if Stephen Lynch ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Stephen Lynch runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Open markets
Politics
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch)?
- Kalshi prices Stephen Lynch, ≥2% at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) resolve?
- MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2027.
- How is MA-08 Democratic primary margin of victory? (Stephen Lynch) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the margin of victory for Stephen Lynch in the 2026 MA-08 Democratic primary is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes.