KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningNo trading activity
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
U.S. Senator 0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
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Liquidity unknownSpread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 1, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRules
If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES.
- If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO.
- "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029.
- Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029??
- Kalshi prices U.S. Senator at 0% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? resolve?
- Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2029.
- How is Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.