KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Saudi Arabia 88.7%+3.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26.2
Liquidity
$45.2
Low liquidityBid / Ask
85.0% / 94.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 12:05 AM UTCSep 14, 26, 7:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
World Cup 2026: South Korea vs. United States
KalshiWorld Cup 2026: Sweden vs. Germany
KalshiWorld Cup 2026: Australia vs. France
KalshiOverwatch: Saudi Arabia vs Spain (BO5) - World Cup Playoffs
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketRules
If Spain wins the World Cup 2026: Spain vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The following market refers to the full match in the World Cup 2026: Spain vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026 If the relevant match is postponed and not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is cancelled before play begins, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match is forfeited before any play occurs, the market will resolve to the fair market price.
- If the relevant match begins and is subsequently forfeited, the market will resolve according to the official result published by the governing body or tournament organizer.
- If the named outcome wins the World Cup 2026: Spain vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.5pt74%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.0pt66%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $650.9K
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-3.6pt56.8%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
- Naftali Bennett7.4%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 more outcomes
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Israel closes its airspace by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for World Cup 2026: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia?
- Kalshi prices Saudi Arabia at 89% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does World Cup 2026: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia resolve?
- World Cup 2026: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is World Cup 2026: Spain vs. Saudi Arabia settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Spain wins the World Cup 2026: Spain vs. the named outcome Overwatch match originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.