KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Steve Daines 9%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$3.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.9 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Jun 4, 25, 8:45 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If Elon Musk backs a challenger to the named outcome before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official campaign websitesFederal Election CommissionBallotpediaNew York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforEnergy Information AdministrationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCofficial social media accounts verified by the platformstate election authorities
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Steve Daines at 9% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? resolve?
- Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2027.
- How is Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Elon Musk backs a challenger to the named outcome before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.