KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above 85 (98%)
Resolved: Oct 13, 2026, 3:32 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 13, 2026, 2:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above 8099%
Above 951%
Above 8598%
Above 9050%
Above 70Lost
Above 80Lost
Above 75Lost
Above 85Won
Above 10Lost
Above 20Lost
Above 30Lost
Above 40Lost
Above 50Lost
Above 60Lost
Above 65Lost
Above 90Lost
Above 95Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the Metascore for Gears of War: E-Day is the named outcome seven days after release at 10:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Metacritic
- Important Information: If no platform is specified, then the value used will be the first one listed on the Metacritic site on the page for Gears of War: E-Day.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by metacritic.
- Any references to metacritic, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between metacritic and Kalshi.