KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Pete Hegseth · —
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Stored price
Pete Hegseth 38.5%Leader of 7 outcomes
Pete Hegseth 38.5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$513.1
Open interest
$513.1
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Pete HegsethSpread
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Market data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Pete Hegseth
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the House impeach Trump again?
PredictItWill the House impeach a federal judge this year?
KalshiIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach a Cabinet member before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will the House impeach Donald Trump before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalPoliticoAxiosSemaforABCCBSNBCCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe InformationBBC NewsThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- Impeached means the U.S. House of Representatives adopts at least one article of impeachment against the official in a floor vote. Committee votes, and resolutions that are tabled, referred or defeated, do not count. The first official is the one against whom the House first adopts an article of impeachment after Issuance. If a single vote impeaches more than one named official, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of named officials impeached by that vote. Only the six officials named in this event are compared, and no officials will be added to this event. The impeachment of an official who is not named in this event does not resolve any market, and the first named official the House impeaches afterwards is still the first official for this market. None of these resolves to Yes if, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, the House does not impeach any of the six officials named in this event. It resolves to No as soon as the House impeaches one of them after Issuance. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Rules for each outcome
- Pete Hegseth
- If Pete Hegseth is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- None of these
- If none of the officials named in this event is impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Donald Trump
- If Donald Trump is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Todd Blanche
- If Todd Blanche is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- JD Vance
- If JD Vance is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
- If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Howard Lutnick
- If Howard Lutnick is the first of the officials named in this event to be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
