KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Troy Downing 96%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.3% / 7.8%
Spread
4.5 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 15 minutes ago
Jan 7, 26, 1:08 AM UTCNov 3, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for MT-02 House winner??
- Kalshi prices Troy Downing at 96% as of September 22, 2026.
- When does MT-02 House winner? resolve?
- MT-02 House winner? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2027.
- How is MT-02 House winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the House member sworn in for MT-02 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.