KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningSource data degradedStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
John Garamendi · —
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Stored price
John Garamendi 98%
John Garamendi 98%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$3.3K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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John GaramendiSpread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 7, 26, 1:04 AM UTCJan 4, 27, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · John Garamendi
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the House member sworn in for CA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Rules for each outcome
- John Garamendi
- If the House member sworn in for CA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Rudy Recile
- If the House member sworn in for CA-08 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for John Garamendi (D) is 97%. The venue spread is about 2 percentage points.
CoinRithm reference John Garamendi (D) 97% · 2 venues · 2 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — CA-08 House Election Winner · John Garamendi (D) 98%
