KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Epstein (99%)
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, 8:36 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 15, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current implied probability
Epstein 99%+26.0ptLeader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$62.8K
Liquidity
$54.9K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 48 days ago
StaleJul 13, 26, 9:23 PMJul 30, 26, 2:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Pam / Bondi1%
Epstein80%
Fentanyl27%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin30%
January 6 / J687%
Minnesota / Minneapolis25%
Election91%
Biden81%
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization75%
Trump (3+ times)80%
China / Chinese1%
FBI / Comey71%
Fraud78%
Terrorist / Terrorism53%
Event does not qualify17%
AI / Artificial Intelligence25%
UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial1%
Venezuela / Maduro1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Rules
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Senate Committee on the Judiciary - The Nomination of the Honorable Todd Blanche to be Attorney General of the United States will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Senate Committee on the Judiciary - The Nomination of the Honorable Todd Blanche to be Attorney General of the United States will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
