US real GDP growth in 2029?

1.0% (24h)EconomyOne-Off3y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

5.1% to 5.5% 6%-1.0%

Leader of 14 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$3.8

Liquidity

$81.3

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jun 8, 26, 9:00 PMFeb 28, 30, 1:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

5.1% to 5.5%6%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the United States real GDP growth in 2029 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2029.
The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2029 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2029 GDP in early 2030.
Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive.
For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,925.75+2.78%

EthereumETH$1,658.91+2.42%

SolanaSOL$65.25+2.69%

Related Markets

US real GDP growth in 2030?

$154.9

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2027?

$11.1

1.6% to 2.0%: 10%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2028?

$5.8

2.1% to 2.5%: 16%

KALSHI

US recession by end of 2026?

$3.8K

Yes: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$915

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

$300

Yes: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+2.28%

XRPXRP$1.12+1.31%

BNBBNB$601.28+2.89%

CardanoADA$0.1666+4.54%

HyperliquidHYPE$56.02+0.47%

LitecoinLTC$42.65+0.91%

Rules

If the United States real GDP growth in 2029 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2029.
The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2029 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2029 GDP in early 2030.
Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive.
For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

US real GDP growth in 2029?

1.0% (24h)EconomyOne-Off3y

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee

Current implied probability

5.1% to 5.5% 6%-1.0%

Leader of 14 outcomes

Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$3.8

Liquidity

$81.3

Low liquidity

Bid / Ask

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jun 8, 26, 9:00 PMFeb 28, 30, 1:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

5.1% to 5.5%6%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If the United States real GDP growth in 2029 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2029.
The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2029 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2029 GDP in early 2030.
Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive.
For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,925.75+2.78%

EthereumETH$1,658.91+2.42%

SolanaSOL$65.25+2.69%

Related Markets

US real GDP growth in 2030?

$154.9

2.6% to 3.0%: 11%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2027?

$11.1

1.6% to 2.0%: 10%

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2028?

$5.8

2.1% to 2.5%: 16%

KALSHI

US recession by end of 2026?

$3.8K

Yes: 20%

POLYMARKET

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$915

5.0%: 17%

POLYMARKET

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

$300

Yes: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+2.28%

XRPXRP$1.12+1.31%

BNBBNB$601.28+2.89%

CardanoADA$0.1666+4.54%

HyperliquidHYPE$56.02+0.47%

LitecoinLTC$42.65+0.91%

Rules

If the United States real GDP growth in 2029 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2029.
The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2029 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2029 GDP in early 2030.
Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive.
For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.