KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability1.1% to 1.5% 13.5%Leader of 14 outcomes
Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 6.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Jul 28, 26, 12:00 AMFeb 28, 33, 1:29 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
6.1% or Above5%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2032.
- The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2032 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2032 GDP in early 2033.
- Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.1% to 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United States real GDP growth in 2032 is between 0.6% to 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.