KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove $29.0 trillion 99%Leader of 21 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$193.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
95.0% / 99.0%
Spread
4.2%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 4, 26, 3:00 PMApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Above $29.0 trillion99%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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Rules
If US Nominal GDP is above $29.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 US Nominal GDP data.
- This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
- If US Nominal GDP is above $29.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If US Nominal GDP is above $29.4 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If US Nominal GDP is above $29.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.