KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityAbove $1.6 trillion 99%Leader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$27.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
94.0% / 99.0%
Spread
5.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Feb 5, 26, 3:00 PMApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Above $1.6 trillion99%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
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KALSHI
Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?
$300Yes: 27.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSUK Nominal GDP in 2026
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If Mexico Nominal GDP is above $1.6 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Mexico Nominal GDP data.
- This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
- If Mexico Nominal GDP is above $1.7 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mexico Nominal GDP is above $1.8 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mexico Nominal GDP is above $1.9 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.