KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAbove $4.0 trillion 98%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
90.0% / 98.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Feb 4, 26, 3:00 PMApr 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above $4.0 trillion98%
Volume trend
$97Jul 184d of dataJul 25
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
US Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $29.0 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIUK Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $3.4 trillion: 95%KALSHI
KALSHIRussia Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $2.2 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIMexico Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $1.6 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIIndia Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $4.0 trillion: 81%KALSHI
KALSHIGermany Nominal GDP in 2026
$0Above $4.7 trillion: 99%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If Japan Nominal GDP is above $4.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves after the first release of Q4 2026 Japan Nominal GDP data.
- This data refers to the calendar year of 2026, not the fiscal year.
- If Japan Nominal GDP is above $4.1 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Japan Nominal GDP is above $4.2 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Japan Nominal GDP is above $4.3 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.