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Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 11:31 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Before Sep 1, 2026Lost
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Before Nov 3, 2026Awaiting result
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.
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KalshiRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If Ruben Gallego leaves as Senator the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ruben GallegoThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersUnited States SenateCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Ruben Gallego must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Ruben Gallego out as Senator? · Before Oct 1, 2026 50%