What are the current odds for Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.?

Manifold Markets prices No at 93.7% as of October 24, 2026.

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Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.

PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 93.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 46 minutes ago

Lagging

Apr 15, 26, 6:03 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

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Rules

Will resolve yes if he resigns, dies, or otherwise leaves the US Senate by Dec 31, 2026.

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Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.

Ruben Gallego to leave the US Senate by end of 2026.

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