Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?
1.0% (24h)PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopolitics6mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 34%-1.0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$35.8
Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
34.0% / 37.0%
Spread
8.8%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 8, 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes34%
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If legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
- Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.