Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionGeopolitics3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 58%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$13.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
39.0% / 43.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jun 8, 26, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
If legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.
- The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026??
- Kalshi prices No at 58% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026? resolve?
- Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If legislation that makes “Department of War” the official statutory name of the United States Department of Defense has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.