KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 30.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 30.5%Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$26
Open interest
$26
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 11:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRules
If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:United Conservative PartyReutersthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsThe New York TimesPolitico
- The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement that the leader will leave within the next year counts even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. A leadership review or special general meeting vote does not by itself resolve the market; it counts only if the leader then resigns, is removed, or it is announced that they will leave. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Danielle Smith of the United Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.