KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% · —
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Stored price
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% 22.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9% 22.5%Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Open interest
$1.3K
Low open interestBid / Ask
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Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%Spread
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Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Nov 11, 26, 10:30 PM UTCFeb 28, 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
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KalshiRules
If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For all outcomes in this market, Party refers to the political party of the person inaugurated as President for the term beginning Jan 20, 2029, and CPI inflation refers to the 12-month percent change in the all items Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), before seasonal adjustment, for December 2029, as first published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics to one decimal place in its December 2029 CPI release. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Party (PRESPARTY), CPI inflation (YOYCPI). Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “2.0% to 2.9%” includes both 2.0% and 2.9%, “4.0% or above” includes 4.0%, and “1.9% or below” includes 1.9%. If neither a Democratic nor a Republican candidate is inaugurated as President, every market resolves to No. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
Rules for each outcome
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 4.0% or above, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 3.0% to 3.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Republican, CPI inflation: 2.0% to 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below
- If ALL of the following occur: Party: Democratic, CPI inflation: 1.9% or below, then the market resolves to Yes.
