KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 91%
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$18.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
8.7% / 8.8%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 5:01 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes9%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiThis pageBest overall | Medium | 91% | +82pt | $5 | $18.5K | 24 minutes ago | |
 Polymarket72% match · verified | Low | 95% | +86pt | $0 | $2.7K | 24 minutes ago | Open → |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
1.0 pts5mo
+0.0pt94.1%
-0.0pt5.9%
45 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If the top rate of corporate federal tax is reduced below 21% before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market will resolve to Yes even if the tax rate is only lowered for future years.
- Other provisions that may affect the amount of corporate tax paid by a given corporation, but are not the corporate income tax rate-- such as rules affecting what income counts as taxable or affecting deductions, credits, and other tax attributes relevant to corporations--do not affect the resolution of the Contract.
- Surtaxes imposed on (or removed from) taxable income or (adjusted) gross income are encompassed in the Payout Criterion.
- Increases in taxes imposed on (or removed from) specific kinds of corporate income that are not taxable income or (adjusted) gross income are not relevant for the Payout Criterion.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$5Jul 222d of dataJul 27
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If the top rate of corporate federal tax is reduced below 21% before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market will resolve to Yes even if the tax rate is only lowered for future years.
- Other provisions that may affect the amount of corporate tax paid by a given corporation, but are not the corporate income tax rate-- such as rules affecting what income counts as taxable or affecting deductions, credits, and other tax attributes relevant to corporations--do not affect the resolution of the Contract.
- Surtaxes imposed on (or removed from) taxable income or (adjusted) gross income are encompassed in the Payout Criterion.
- Increases in taxes imposed on (or removed from) specific kinds of corporate income that are not taxable income or (adjusted) gross income are not relevant for the Payout Criterion.