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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Fed
  3. How many government employees will Trump cut?
How many government employees will Trump cut?

How many government employees will Trump cut?

1.0% (24h)FedOne-OffUS Politics8mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
More than 100,000
More than 100,000 42%-1.0%
Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.1

Liquidity

$93

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

36.0% / 42.0%

Spread

16.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 20, 26, 1:00 AMMar 4, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

More than 100,00042%

Rules

If there are more than 50000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
  • If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are more than 150000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are more than 200000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are more than 250000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,643.79+1.88%EthereumETH$1,653.31+1.52%SolanaSOL$65.18+1.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.26%BNBBNB$596.07+1.49%XRPXRP$1.12-0.05%

Related News

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Rules

If there are more than 50000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
  • If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are more than 150000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are more than 200000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If there are more than 250000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.