KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
More than 100,000 16%-2.0ptMarket line of 6 lines
More than 100,000 16%-2.0ptMarket quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$222.2
Open interest
$6.7K
Medium open interestSpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jan 20, 26, 1:00 AM UTCMar 4, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 5m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
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KalshiRules
If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.
Rules for each outcome
- More than 100,000
- If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More than 200,000
- If there are more than 200000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More than 150,000
- If there are more than 150000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More than 250,000
- If there are more than 250000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More than 300,000
- If there are more than 300000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- More than 350,000
- If there are more than 350000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.