KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maintain current rate 84.5%+1.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Maintain current rate 84.5%+1.0ptMarket quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$24.8
Open interest
$4.7K
Medium open interestSpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 6:25 PM UTCOct 21, 26, 1:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank. For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count. If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings. The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
Rules for each outcome
- Maintain current rate
- If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Maintain current rate at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut 1-25bps
- If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Cut 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cut more than 25bps
- If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Cut more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike more than 25bps
- If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Hike more than 25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Hike 1-25bps
- If the Bank of Israel takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at the October Monetary Committee meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
