KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Maintain current rate 82.5%+7.0ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.3K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 11:00 PM UTCOct 7, 26, 12:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "the named outcome" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
Open markets
Central Banks
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase-0.3pt97%
- No change+0.8pt2%
- 50+ bps increase-0.5pt1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $715.3K
- 24h Vol
- $20.9K
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $192.4K
KALSHISweden rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate78%
- Cut 1-25bps4%
- Hike more than 25bps3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $17.1K
- 24h Vol
- $17.1K
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-25.5pt58.3%
- 25 bps increase+22.0pt41.7%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
- No change-2.5pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINorway rate decision in September
- Hike more than 25bps6%
- Cut 1-25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps0%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.6K
- 24h Vol
- $6.6K
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of England decision in November?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Bank of England rate decision in September
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Bank of Korea decision in November?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Poland rate decision in October?
- Kalshi prices Maintain current rate at 83% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Poland rate decision in October resolve?
- Poland rate decision in October is scheduled to resolve on October 7, 2026.
- How is Poland rate decision in October settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Narodowy Bank Polski takes the action of the named outcome at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.