Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
4.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 20, 2029 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 20, 2029 24.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 20, 2029 24.5%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.5K
Open interest
$77.1K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 20, 2029Spread
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Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 7:31 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 20, 2029
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.