Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 75%
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$142.5
Liquidity
$69.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 26, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
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If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency??
- Kalshi prices No at 75% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? resolve?
- Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If, as part of Section IV of the 25th Amendment, the Vice President (and a majority of the Cabinet or some other body designated by Congress) transmit to Congress a written declaration that the President is unable to discharge the powers and duties of his office before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Will Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.