KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 99%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.1K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
0.3% / 1.4%
Spread
1.1 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 6, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Brazil approve Daniel Perez as U.S. ambassador before its 2026 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
Kalshi"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
PolymarketTerritory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
FutuurWill Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner in 2026?
PredictItRules
If Nick Adams is the first person confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Senate
- If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.8pt37.4%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt30.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+1.0pt13.1%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $130M
- 24h Vol
- $1.2M
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Total Vol
- $29.3M
- 24h Vol
- $980.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt51.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt46.5%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $214.4M
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-1.0pt67%
- Susan Collins33%
- Total Vol
- $5.3M
- 24h Vol
- $608.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate-1.0pt46.1%
- D-House, R-Senate36.3%
- R-House, R-Senate15.7%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.3M
- Texas Senate winner?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- TX-15 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia??
- Kalshi prices No at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? resolve?
- When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Nick Adams is the first person confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.