KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before Jan 1, 2028 73.5%Leader of 3 outcomes
Before Jan 1, 2028 73.5%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$117.1
Open interest
$2.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 17, 26, 12:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jan 1, 2028
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill an "export-control chip security" bill like the Chip Security Act become law in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If federal legislation requiring AI biosecurity controls has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying federal law must require evaluations or safeguards for AI models or systems that specifically address biological misuse or harm. Mandatory biosecurity testing or evaluations qualify, as do controls on access, capabilities, security, deployment, or procurement tied to biological risk. The requirement may be part of a broader AI law or apply only to a defined sector or federal procurement. Studies, voluntary standards, funding, and gene-synthesis, laboratory, or biological-data rules without an operative AI-model or system requirement do not qualify. General AI or cybersecurity requirements and incident reporting alone are insufficient without the defined biosecurity evaluation or safeguard. A later effective date does not delay qualification. An example of this is Section 1654 of S. 4784, the Senate FY2027 defense authorization bill.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If federal legislation requiring AI biosecurity controls has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If federal legislation requiring AI biosecurity controls has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If federal legislation requiring AI biosecurity controls has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.