KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 69%+6.0pt
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$59.6
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
63.0% / 70.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 1, 24, 12:00 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
EU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
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KalshiRules
If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Indian government
Open markets
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $104.5M
- 24h Vol
- $2M
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $629.4K
- 24h Vol
- $36K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $388.5K
- 24h Vol
- $14.9K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $12.5K
- 24h Vol
- $12.5K
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No81%
- Yes-6.0pt19%
- Total Vol
- $360.5K
- 24h Vol
- $8.5K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Total Vol
- $711.9K
- 24h Vol
- $8K
- Recession this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for India meets its 2030 climate goals??
- Kalshi prices Yes at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does India meets its 2030 climate goals? resolve?
- India meets its 2030 climate goals? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2031.
- How is India meets its 2030 climate goals? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If India has reduced the emission intensity of its GDP by 45% relative to the 2005 level by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.