Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization?
US PoliticsWeatherOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 57.5%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleNov 25, 23, 9:13 AM UTCSep 9, 29, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia be classified as a "flawed democracy" by 2030?
Manifold MarketsEU debt classified as sovereign before 2027?
Manifold MarketsEU meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiIndia meets its 2030 climate goals?
KalshiUS meets its climate goals?
KalshiRules
This will resolve based on a Supreme Court decision.
- If a subgroup of the "Letzte Generation" is classified as a criminal organization, this resolves Yes.
- If it becomes unreasonable to believe there is going to be a Supreme Court decision at all, for example if the "Letzte Generation" ceases to exist and there are no ongoing legal proceedings which might lead to a decision, this will resolve No.
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 58% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization? resolve?
- Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2029.
- How is Will the climate change activists "Last Generation" ("Letzte Generation") be classified as a criminal organization? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This will resolve based on a Supreme Court decision.