Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
One-OffUS PoliticsRegulation3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.3%
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88
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 23, 9:16 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Betting YES means marijuana is not a Schedule 1 drug at some time before the given date.
- The question resolves positively if marijuana is still a controlled substance, but not Schedule 1.
- If marijuana is de-classified and then re-classified, the question would resolve positively.
- State-level reclassifications/decriminalization/legalization don't count.