Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
One-OffUS PoliticsRegulation3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 91.3%
Forecasters
88
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 23, 9:16 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
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KalshiRules
Betting YES means marijuana is not a Schedule 1 drug at some time before the given date.
- The question resolves positively if marijuana is still a controlled substance, but not Schedule 1.
- If marijuana is de-classified and then re-classified, the question would resolve positively.
- State-level reclassifications/decriminalization/legalization don't count.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 91% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030? resolve?
- Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Betting YES means marijuana is not a Schedule 1 drug at some time before the given date.