Will the US Congress pass, and the President sign, a binding frontier-AI law before 2027?
PoliticsOne-OffAIUS Politics2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 94%
No 94%Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$664.3
Low liquidityTraders
0
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Trends
Rules
This market resolves "Yes" if, between October 13, 2026 and December 31, 2026, Congress passes and the President signs a law imposing binding obligations specifically on frontier AI developers.
- The source is the Congress.gov legislative record.
- FULL DETAILS
- If, on a date between October 13, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive), a bill or joint resolution containing binding federal frontier-AI provisions (as defined below) is passed by both the US House of Representatives and the US Senate and signed into law by the President of the United States, this market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Laws signed before October 13, 2026 are not taken into account, even if they otherwise meet this definition.
- The Primary Designated Source is the official legislative record on Congress.gov (Library of Congress) — the bill’s "Became Public Law" action and enacted text — with confirmation by AP or Reuters.
