Will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate each other before Brazil's presidential runoff?
PoliticsOne-OffElectionLatin America12dFutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probabilityYes 80%
Market quality
33 / 100
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Rules
This market covers only debates held between October 9, 2026, 11:43 UTC and the opening of the polls for Brazil's presidential runoff on October 25, 2026.
- It resolves "Yes" as soon as Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro both take part live in the same debate, per the organizing outlet's broadcast.
- FULL DETAILS
- If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) both take part in the same debate between candidates for President of Brazil at any time between October 9, 2026, 11:43 UTC and October 25, 2026, 08:00 Brasília time (11:00 UTC) — the opening of the polls for the second round of the 2026 presidential election — this market will immediately resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Debates held before October 9, 2026, 11:43 UTC are not taken into account, even if both candidates took part in a debate at an earlier date.
- The Primary Designated Source is the live broadcast of the debate by the media outlet or pool of outlets that organizes it (television, radio or internet).
