Will a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2mo
FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
No 91%
No 91%Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
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$1.1K
Low liquidityTraders
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Updated 3 minutes ago
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether the U.S. Congress will pass binding legislation establishing a code of ethics for the Supreme Court of the United States by December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official congressional records confirming passage of such legislation.
- If Congress passes binding legislation creating a code of ethics for the Supreme Court by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Voluntary, advisory, or court‑adopted codes without congressional passage will not count.
- If legislative records are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major U.S. news organizations.
