Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026?
US PoliticsCrime & Justice3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Gender-affirming care for minors 99%Leader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
26
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 23, 24, 12:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTerm limit for US Supreme Court justices enacted in 2026?
FutuurWill a binding code of ethics for the US Supreme Court be passed in Congress in 2026?
FutuurNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurWill a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Will SCOTUS grant cert on cases which involves these LGBT+ topics by end of year 2026?
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Noah1/will-the-us-supreme-court-take-up-a-e3aa03eae53c)
Open markets
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $808.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 more outcomes
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Total Vol
- $28.3M
- 24h Vol
- $342.3K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.2%
- Marco Rubio20.2%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $338.6K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Gender-affirming care for minors at 99% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026? resolve?
- Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the US Supreme Court take up a case on these LGBT+ issues by EOY 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will SCOTUS grant cert on cases which involves these LGBT+ topics by end of year 2026?