ForecastExLimited verified dataCurrent implied probabilityNo 93%
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$640
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastEx🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
Fed Decision September 16 2026.
- Will the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in September 2026? Price reflects the latest available ForecastEx exchange evidence.
Open markets
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.1M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 more outcomes
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt50%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt44.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 more outcomes
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 2027+2.0pt75%
- Total Vol
- $3.9M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $47.9K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in September 2026??
- ForecastEx prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in September 2026? resolve?
- Will the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in September 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is Will the Fed raise the rate 50bps or more in September 2026? settled?
- ForecastEx settles this market as follows: Fed Decision September 16 2026.