Geopolitik

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

4.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

October 29100%

October 30+0.4pt100%

October 31+4.0pt100%

+39 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen41,7 Mio. $

24h-Volumen410.355,1 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

4.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

March 31+4.0pt67%

December 31-1.2pt42%

November 3031%

+22 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen44,9 Mio. $

24h-Volumen363.598,9 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

2.1 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

October 31+2.1pt99%

November 2+1.7pt93%

November 4-0.5pt85%

+19 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (≤74)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen31,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen503.402,2 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?

0.3 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-3.0pt7%

October 31-0.3pt0%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (42)Spread unbekanntHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen77,1 Mio. $

24h-Volumen190.811,1 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

2Mon

Ja5.9%

Nein94.1%

Hohe Qualität (90)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen28,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen143.938,7 $

POLYMARKET

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

1.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja16.8%-1.0pt

Nein83.2%+1.0pt

Hohe Qualität (78)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen76,1 Mio. $

24h-Volumen47.568 $

vor 1 Stunde

POLYMARKET

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2Mon

Ja2%

Nein98%

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen45,4 Mio. $

24h-Volumen57.288,4 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

1.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja11.9%+1.0pt

Nein88.1%-1.0pt

Hohe Qualität (89)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen16,1 Mio. $

24h-Volumen150.779,9 $

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 3114%

November 30+1.0pt11%

October 31-0.1pt0%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen20,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen77.649,8 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31+3.0pt9%

October 31+0.1pt0%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (38)Spread unbekanntHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen18,5 Mio. $

24h-Volumen70.279,6 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

1.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-1.0pt16%

November 30-1.0pt7%

November 15-0.6pt4%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen13 Mio. $

24h-Volumen61.538,8 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-1.0pt13%

November 306%

October 31-0.1pt0%

+10 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen17,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen32.621,5 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?

0.2 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-0.2pt3%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen29,7 Mio. $

24h-Volumen18.482,2 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

1.0 Pkt. (24h)8Mon

December 31,-1.0pt70%

November 30,68%

October 31,-0.5pt65%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen10,2 Mio. $

24h-Volumen50.862,7 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?

2.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December-2.0pt52%

March24%

December 3112%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen3,3 Mio. $

24h-Volumen64.503 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

1.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-1.0pt39%

November 3026%

November 2+0.9pt7%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (69)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen3 Mio. $

24h-Volumen54.432,7 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?

7.5 Pkt. (24h)4Std

December 31-7.5pt29%

November 30-2.5pt21%

October 31-1.1pt1%

+8 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (64)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen3,5 Mio. $

24h-Volumen41.848,1 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

US-Iran nuclear deal?

1.0 Pkt. (24h)15Std

Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt39%

Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt36%

Before Mar 1, 202720%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (50)Spread unbekanntHohes Open InterestHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen7,7 Mio. $

24h-Volumen14.801 $

vor 1 Stunde

KALSHI

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?

9.5 Pkt. (24h)4Std

October 31+9.5pt99%

October 847%

October 1228%

+28 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (73)Enger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen1,3 Mio. $

24h-Volumen102.016 $

POLYMARKET

Iran full airspace closure by which date?

0.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 3136%

November 30-0.5pt30%

October 31-1.8pt1%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen10,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen6723,8 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

0.4 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

October 31+0.4pt100%

November 30+5.5pt86%

December 31+1.5pt48%

+8 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (63)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen2,6 Mio. $

24h-Volumen17.162,2 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

0.9 Pkt. (24h)3T

No Hormuz Agreement-0.9pt91.1%

D+0.5pt5.9%

R+0.9pt3%

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen1,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen20.393,8 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?

3.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31,45%

November 30,-3.0pt32%

October 31,-0.8pt1%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (67)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen1 Mio. $

24h-Volumen31.502 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

0.5 Pkt. (24h)30T

Ja6.9%+0.5pt

Nein93.1%-0.5pt

Hohe Qualität (76)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen1,1 Mio. $

24h-Volumen26.026,2 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

2.0 Pkt. (24h)3T

Ja89%+2.0pt

Nein11%-2.0pt

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Mittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen1,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen14.697,4 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

2.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ilhan Omar-2.0pt45%

John Brennan-3.0pt21%

Dan J. Sullivan+3.0pt19%

+42 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (≤74)Enger SpreadHohes Open InterestHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen2,2 Mio. $

24h-Volumen10.797,9 $

KALSHI

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

2Mon

Christopher Luxon43%

Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt19%

Pedro Sánchez19%

+32 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (67)Mittlerer SpreadHohes Open InterestHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen4 Mio. $

24h-Volumen5366,5 $

vor 1 Stunde

KALSHI

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

0.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja7%+0.5pt

Nein93%-0.5pt

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen2,1 Mio. $

24h-Volumen8503 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?

0.7 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-2.5pt81%

November 30-3.5pt73%

October 31-0.7pt0%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen2,2 Mio. $

24h-Volumen6532,2 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

2.3 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja2%-2.3pt

Nein98%+2.3pt

Hohe Qualität (76)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen488.253,7 $

24h-Volumen30.251,3 $

vor 1 Stunde

POLYMARKET

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?

2.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31+2.0pt23%

October 31-0.3pt1%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (65)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen628.735,5 $

24h-Volumen21.259,3 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

Iran Nuke before 2027?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja4%-0.1pt

Nein96%+0.1pt

Mittlere Qualität (72)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen1,5 Mio. $

24h-Volumen5025,1 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

Who will be arrested before 2027?

7.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

John Brennan-7.0pt26%

Mahmoud Khalil20%

Lee Jun-seok+4.2pt12%

+21 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen637.623,2 $

24h-Volumen11.528,5 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

0.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja3%-0.5pt

Nein97%+0.5pt

Mittlere Qualität (73)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen782.367,4 $

24h-Volumen8542,4 $

vor 1 Stunde

POLYMARKET

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?

4.7 Pkt. (24h)29T

November 30+2.0pt38%

October 31-4.7pt2%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen464.473,1 $

24h-Volumen10.873,6 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?

9.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

No Meeting by December 31+1.0pt52.5%

Qatar+9.5pt21.8%

Turkey-4.0pt5%

+16 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (67)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen217.207,7 $

24h-Volumen16.040,2 $

vor 48 Minuten

POLYMARKET

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

6.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja15.8%+6.0pt

Nein84.2%-6.0pt

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadMittlere Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen296.353,3 $

24h-Volumen10.341,5 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

1.3 Pkt. (24h)3T

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D+1.1pt75%

No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R-1.3pt25%

Agreement + Oil < $80; D0%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen427.523,6 $

24h-Volumen6048,2 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

1.3 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja4%-1.3pt

Nein96%+1.3pt

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen361.064,5 $

24h-Volumen5386 $

vor 2 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

2T

Above 15098%

Above 16097%

Above 17095%

+8 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (72)Enger SpreadHohes Open InterestNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen155.234,4 $

24h-Volumen10.085,6 $

KALSHI

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?

0.3 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31+1.5pt14%

October 31-0.3pt1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen7,5 Mio. $

24h-Volumen2346,1 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

0.8 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31-0.8pt4%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

Mittlere Qualität (60)Enger SpreadHohe Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen7,8 Mio. $

24h-Volumen1371 $

vor 1 Stunde

POLYMARKET

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja5%-0.1pt

Nein95%+0.1pt

Hohe Qualität (78)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen3,5 Mio. $

24h-Volumen2603,8 $

POLYMARKET

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

0.1 Pkt. (24h)1Min

Ja0%+0.1pt

Nein100%-0.1pt

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen77.380,2 $

24h-Volumen6922,6 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

4.0 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Steve Witkoff+4.0pt45%

Abbas Araghchi-0.5pt43%

Majid Takht-Ravanchi43%

+25 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen2 Mio. $

24h-Volumen4133,9 $

vor 4 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

1.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja9%+1.5pt

Nein91%-1.5pt

Hohe Qualität (75)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen2,9 Mio. $

24h-Volumen2126,2 $

POLYMARKET

Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

2.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31+1.0pt27%

November 30+2.5pt19%

October 31-0.4pt1%

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen62.378,5 $

24h-Volumen6104,6 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?

7.5 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

December 31+7.5pt84%

October 3172%

Niedrige Qualität (32)Breiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität

Gesamtvolumen33.910,1 $

24h-Volumen11.704 $

vor 5 Stunden

POLYMARKET

Zugehörige Krypto-Assets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by which date?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?

Iran full airspace closure by which date?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by which date?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by which date?

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/26 - 11/1)

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by which date?

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