PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86.1%
Marktqualitat
78 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4888,8 €
Liquidität
38.672,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
13.0% / 14.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
23. Juni 26, 04:53 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31 ? [Not Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PolymarketCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Polymarket5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.