PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 39%+5.0ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
December 31 39%+5.0ptMarktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
34.238,9 €
Liquidität
165.323,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
14
7d-Änderung
-9.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
4. Aug. 26, 02:59 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
August 15Verloren
August 31Verloren
September 15Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
September 30Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
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PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between the United States and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions, policies, obligations, or commitments between the United States and Iran.
- A qualifying diplomatic agreement must establish Iranian policies, obligations, or commitments aimed at permitting, restoring, or increasing vessel or shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz.
- All listed countries must announce their acceptance of the same qualifying diplomatic agreement for the Payout Condition to be met.
- A joint announcement will qualify, as will separate announcements from each entity of its own acceptance of an agreement which, taken together, directly indicate that all the listed countries accepted the same agreement.
- Separate announcements of individual policies will not qualify if the policies are not announced as part of a diplomatic agreement.