KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 68%-2.0%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
37,6 €
Liquidität
1191 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
70.0% / 73.0%
Spread
4.3%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 15:001. Feb. 27, 15:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes68%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Blue wave in 2026?
5Mon
75%
25%
49 • Niedrige QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen43.125,4 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.