KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 74%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
82 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4237,6 €
Liquidität
154.519,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 15:001. Feb. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes74%
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 74% | 0pt | 4237,6 € | 154.519,3 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 Polymarket80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 75% | +1pt | 0 € | 11.381,1 € | vor 17 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Blue wave in 2026?
4Mon
75%
25%
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen46.477,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$4.8k2. Juli26T Daten27. Juli
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If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.