PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 84.2%+1.5pt
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
13 €
Liquidität
10.964,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
84.0% / 85.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
11
7d-Änderung
+7.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 00:53 UTC5. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 218 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 49 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 85%.
CoinRithm-Referenz 85% · 2 Plattformen · 0 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Blue wave in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 84% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Blue wave in 2026? entschieden?
- Blue wave in 2026? soll am 5. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Blue wave in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Wo wird Blue wave in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.