PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 74.3%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
10.891,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
74.0% / 75.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-1.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 0:5330. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes75%
Plattformen vergleichen· Yes
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 75% | 0pt | 3777,5 € | 154.630,5 € | vor 15 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Niedrig | 75% | 0pt | 0 € | 10.891,1 € | vor 15 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Blue wave in 2026?
6Mon
75%
25%
82 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen276.805,5 €
24h-Volumen3777,5 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$582. Juli20T Daten24. Juli
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf