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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Blue wave in 2026?
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

YearlyPolitikUS PoliticsWahl5Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 75%
Marktqualitat

49 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

0 €

Liquidität

12.357,5 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

74.0% / 76.0%

Spread

2.7%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

+4.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

14. Jan. 26, 0:5330. Nov. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes75%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

2.0%7Mon
Ja
Ja
-2.0%68%
Nein
Nein
32%
44 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen2171,3 €
24h-Volumen37,6 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Polymarket
  • - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Verwandte Märkte

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

33,7 €
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years): 29%KalshiKALSHI
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

2,8 €
7 or more: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

0 €
Senate: 50%PredictItPREDICTIT
Manifold Markets

Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

130,1 €
Alex Padilla, more housing: 0.3%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?

60,7 €
Ja: 4.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,024.17+1.48%EthereumETH$1,653.05+0.11%SolanaSOL$65.44+0.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+0.46%HyperliquidHYPE$57.10-0.64%XRPXRP$1.12-1.20%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:

Polymarket
  • - Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
  • The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf