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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Which bills will become law in 2026?
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

1.0% (24h)YearlyPolitikUS PoliticsWahl6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years) 29%-1.0%
Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

33,7 €

Liquidität

719,5 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

28.0% / 29.0%

Spread

3.6%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten

23. Jan. 26, 3:001. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)29%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

6.5%6Mon
Housing for the 21st Century Act
Housing for the 21st Century Act
-8.0%69%
Export-control chip security
Export-control chip security
-3.5%55%
DEFIANCE Act
DEFIANCE Act
-24.0%51%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

79 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen99.721,9 €
24h-Volumen2112 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Verwandte Märkte

How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

How many Governors will lose reelection in 2026?

0 €
Exactly 0: 15%KalshiKALSHI
How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

How many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?

2,8 €
7 or more: 13%KalshiKALSHI
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

0 €
Ja: 75%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027?

0 €
Senate: 50%PredictItPREDICTIT
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

249,9 €
Anduril: 34%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$63,041.28+0.96%EthereumETH$1,655.05-0.66%SolanaSOL$65.58+0.16%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851-0.01%HyperliquidHYPE$57.36-0.83%XRPXRP$1.12-1.67%

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Regeln

If legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.