PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91.1%
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
170,9 €
Liquidität
8005,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
8.0% / 9.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
5
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 22:16 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any Canadian province announce a $19+ minimum wage in 2026?
KalshiWill Alberta announce a minimum wage increase in 2026?
KalshiWill California prisoners be required to make minimum wage by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Mamdani raise property taxes?
KalshiWill the federal minimum wage increase before Family Guy ends?
Manifold MarketsWill a single parent in Brazil earn at least one minimum wage from Bolsa Família by 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
- Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
- A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
- The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 9%. Die Kurse liegen rund 2 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 9% · 2 Plattformen · 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne