KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit48 12%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
18.158,8 €
Liquidität
1,1 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.5% / 11.0%
Spread
15.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
20. Dez. 25, 16:001. Feb. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
4812%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many seats will the Democrats hold in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 Midterm Election?
6Mon
2.5%
3%
+0.1%3.7%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose40 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen21.842,6 €
24h-Volumen86,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$20.8k2. Juli6T Daten7. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
0 €Below 45: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
1,1 Mio. €JD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Senate Election Winner
183.446,1 €Democrat: 57%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
168.789,2 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
140.810,1 €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Senate Exact Outcome
140.210,8 €Democratic party wins : 56%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.News
Supreme Court rebuff hits Trump as Polymarket holds RFK Jr. at 49%Blockchain.NewsRoss impeachment warning hits Polymarket as Starmer exit odds rise to 91.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
If the Democratic Party has below 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic Party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.