KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAbove 249 10%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
6253,9 €
Liquidität
482.914,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
9.2% / 9.8%
Spread
6.5%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
30. Dez. 25, 15:001. Feb. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Above 24910%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
4Mon
+2.0%97%
+0.3%99%
+0.3%69.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose51 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen11.253,9 €
24h-Volumen484 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
- If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
- If the Democratic party has between 210-213 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 214-217 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has between 222-225 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.