KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Zohran Mamdani 29%-1.0ptFührend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6850,5 €
Liquidität
624.800,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
19. Feb. 26, 20:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsWill Time's 2026 Person of the Year have one human?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be Time's person of the year in 2025 OR 2026?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWhich brands will advertise during the Big Game?
KalshiRegeln
If the named outcome is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:TIME
- This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
- The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
- Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
- Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 30%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 37%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year? · Zohran Mamdani 27%
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 855.727,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 683.406,4 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.092 €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 602,9 Mio. €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 215.189,4 €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Time's Person of the Year for 2026?
- Kalshi bewertet Zohran Mamdani mit 29% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Time's Person of the Year for 2026 entschieden?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026 soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Time's Person of the Year for 2026 abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Time's Person of the Year for 2026 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket, Futuur, Manifold Markets gelistet.