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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. US Politics
  3. TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?
TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

US PoliticsUnterhaltungYearlyKI6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani 20%
Führend unter 22 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

14,4 €

Liquidität

1659 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

17.0% / 20.0%

Spread

17.6%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

19. Feb. 26, 20:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Zohran Mamdani20%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

12.0%6Mon
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
+30.0%40%
Christina Koch
Christina Koch
+1.5%39%
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
-1.5%34%

+19 weitere Ergebnisse

56 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen1123,2 €
24h-Volumen125,4 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
  • Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
  • Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
  • The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning).
  • Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”.
  • Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005.