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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. TIME Person of the Year 2026
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

4.5% (24h)UnterhaltungYearly6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani 40%+30.0%
Führend unter 22 Optionen
Marktqualitat

56 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

94,8 €

Liquidität

170.578 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

6.0% / 60.0%

Spread

900.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+22.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

26. Mai 26, 20:4131. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Zohran Mamdani40%

KalshiAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

6Mon
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
20%
Donald Trump
Donald Trump
-5.0%21%
Pope Leo XIV
Pope Leo XIV
+3.0%19%

+19 weitere Ergebnisse

28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen3088,2 €
24h-Volumen11,4 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
  • Additionally, the following rules apply:
  • If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
  • If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Verwandte Märkte

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce be married this year?

330,1 €
Ja: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026?

218,5 €
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie: 99%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Who Will play Carl in the video adaptation of Dungeon Crawler Carl?

86,6 €
Chris Pratt: 11.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Alan Moore ever win the Nobel Prize for Literature?

77,3 €
Ja: 12%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?

74,5 €
Taylor Swift: 15%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,598.88+2.08%EthereumETH$1,647.62+1.27%SolanaSOL$64.93+1.49%HyperliquidHYPE$55.64+0.33%XRPXRP$1.11+0.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.55%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Chris Jericho to Join and Co-Create Official Community Traits for Kokopi Koalas™ NFT CollectionBlockchain Reporter

Regeln

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
  • Additionally, the following rules apply:
  • If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
  • If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.