PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitZohran Mamdani 30%+7.5%Führend unter 22 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
666 €
Liquidität
204.147,7 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
29.0% / 30.0%
Spread
3.5%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+10.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
26. Mai 26, 20:2831. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Zohran Mamdani30%
Plattformen vergleichen· Zohran Mamdani
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt71% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 28% | 0pt | 20.021,4 € | 325.340,8 € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Hoch | 30% | +2pt | 666 € | 204.147,7 € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets71% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 13% | -15pt | — | — | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
2.0%5Mon
+2.0%28%
-1.0%18%
17%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen583.444,5 €
24h-Volumen20.021,4 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
5Mon
-0.8%30.9%
-0.1%13%
+0.9%12.9%
+46 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose207 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$7582. Juli21T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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12.088,4 €Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?: 91%KALSHI
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The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
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Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
4745,7 €Bruno Mars: 3%KALSHI
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Eurovision 2027 City
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year.
- Additionally, the following rules apply:
- If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year.
- If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year.